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Lebanon: bonds

Lebanon has a long tradition of domestic free trade and investment policies, with free market pricing for most goods and services, an unrestricted exchange and trade system and extensive links with the developed world in practically all economic activities. The Government has maintained a generally non-interventionist stance toward private investment, and public ownership has generally been limited to infrastructure and utilities. There are no restrictions on the movement of capital and goods by residents and non-residents of the Republic, including on entry or exit of firms or on access to foreign exchange, which makes Lebanon a supportive system for private sector development.
GDP registered high growth rates for the period from 1993 to 1995, averaging an estimated real growth rate of 7.2 percent per annum. Real GDP grew at slower estimated rates of 4.0 percent in 1996 and 1997, 3.6 percent in 1998, (0.5) percent in 1999 and 1.3 percent in 2000. Real GDP growth was 4.0 percent in 2001, 3.4 percent in 2002, and 3.2 percent in 2003. In 2004, real GDP growth increased to 7.5 percent, while declining to 1.2 percent in 2005. In 2006, real GDP growth was 1.4 percent, increasing to 8.4 percent in 2007, 8.6 percent in 2008, 9.0 percent in 2009 and 7.0 percent in 2010.
As of December 31, 2011, the Republic’s gross public debt was LL 80,869 billion (U.S.$53.6 billion) consisting of LL 49,340 billion of gross domestic debt and LL 31,529 billion of public external debt. Net outstanding public debt of the Republic was LL 69,885 billion (U.S.$46.4 billion) as of December 31, 2011.

Outstanding bond issues

Сurrency Outstanding bond issues Cumulative volume
sovereign
LBP 239 35 742 707 041 850
USD 28 29 382 469 000
corporate
USD 4 1 250 000 000

Sovereign rating

Rating AgencyRatingRating scaleDate
Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) *** Country Risk Classifications ***
Moody's Investors Service *** LT- foreign currency ***
Moody's Investors Service *** LT- local currency ***
S&P Global Ratings *** Foreign Currency LT ***
S&P Global Ratings *** Local Currency LT ***
Fitch Ratings *** LT Int. Scale (foreign curr.) ***
Fitch Ratings *** LT Int. Scale (local curr.) ***
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Latest bond issues

issue ISIN coupon volume end of placement maturity date
Lebanon, 7.15% 20nov2031, USD - International bonds XS1720805537 7.15% 2 500 000 000  USD 05/17/2018 11/20/2031
Lebanon, 7% 20mar2028, USD - International bonds XS1720803326 7% 1 700 000 000  USD 05/17/2018 03/20/2028
Lebanon, 8.2% 17may2033, USD - International bonds XS1824238239 8.2% 1 500 000 000  USD 05/17/2018 05/17/2033
Lebanon, 8.25% 17may2034, USD - International bonds XS1824238072 8.25% 1 500 000 000  USD 05/17/2018 05/17/2034
BLOM Bank, 7.5% 4may2023, USD - International bonds XS1790041278 7.5% 300 000 000  USD 04/27/2018 05/04/2023
Lebanon, 7.25% 23mar2037, USD - International bonds XS1586230309 7.25% 750 000 000  USD 03/20/2017 03/23/2037
Lebanon, 7% 23mar2032, USD - International bonds XS1586230481 7% 1 000 000 000  USD 03/20/2017 03/23/2032
Lebanon, 6.85% 23mar2027, USD - International bonds XS1586230051 6.85% 1 250 000 000  USD 03/20/2017 03/23/2027
Lebanon, 6.85% 25may2029, USD - International bonds XS1419879769 6.85% 1 000 000 000  USD 05/27/2016 05/25/2029
Lebanon, 6.4% 26may2023, USD - International bonds XS1419879686 6.4% 500 000 000  USD 05/27/2016 05/26/2023

Forex

Daily indices

Type: 05/22/2019 05/21/2019 05/20/2019 05/17/2019 05/16/2019 05/15/2019 05/14/2019
FOREX rates
[12645] USD/LBP 1 507.5000 1 507.5000 1 507.5000 1 507.5000 1 507.5000 1 507.5000 1 507.5000
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BIS

Quarterly indices

Type: III 2018 II 2018 I 2018 IV 2017 III 2017 II 2017 I 2017
BIS international bonds outstanding volume
[10273] Lebanese international bonds, USD bln 40.600 40.600 35.700 36.400 40.500 40.900 40.800
BIS new international bonds volume
[10499] International-bond net issue of Lebanon, USD bln 0.000 4.900 -0.700 -4.100 -0.400 0.000 1.600

Credit Default Swaps (CDS)

Daily indices

Type: 05/22/2019 05/21/2019 05/20/2019 05/17/2019 05/16/2019 05/15/2019 05/14/2019
CDS Lebanon
[12577] CDS 5Y Lebanon mid 855.00 875.00 880.00   865.00 860.00 865.00
[13553] CDS 6M Lebanon 770.5200 770.3300 784.1900 786.8000 773.5700 746.1800 743.4900
[13615] CDS 1Y Lebanon 831.6400 831.1900 846.1200 848.8300 834.5800 823.1800 820.1600
[13677] CDS 2Y Lebanon 895.2200 894.4800 910.5600 913.6500 898.4400 894.8900 891.6900
[13739] CDS 3Y Lebanon 887.7000 886.8700 902.9300 906.2500 891.1900 890.3000 887.1900
[13801] CDS 4Y Lebanon 874.7100 874.6600 890.5600 893.9900 879.0800 879.5300 876.4600
[13863] CDS 5Y Lebanon 866.0100 864.5400 880.3100 883.7900 869.0100 870.2600 867.2200
[13925] CDS 7Y Lebanon 823.8100 823.0500 837.9700 841.4000 827.4600 841.0400 838.1900
[13987] CDS 10Y Lebanon 808.6800 808.4700 822.5400 825.8300 812.7000 814.6600 812.0000
[14049] CDS 15Y Lebanon 794.6700 794.6800 807.8600 810.9900 798.7000 793.0600 790.5900
[14111] CDS 20Y Lebanon 788.9800 788.7800 801.5500 804.6100 792.6900 783.9400 781.5600
[14173] CDS 30Y Lebanon 779.6100 779.4200 791.9200 794.9700 783.2700 772.1400 769.8100
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International bonds outstanding volume

Monthly indices

Type: Apr 2019 Mar 2019 Feb 2019 Jan 2019 Dec 2018 Nov 2018 Oct 2018
Middle East international bonds outstanding volume
[21955] Lebanon international bonds, USD bln 31.282 31.782 31.782 31.782 31.782 31.782 33.311
[21975] Lebanon corporate international bonds, USD bln 1.250 1.250 1.250 1.250 1.250 1.250 1.250
[21995] Lebanon sovereign international bonds, USD bln 30.032 30.532 30.532 30.532 30.532 30.532 32.061
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Stock exchanges and market participants indices (archive)

Daily indices

Type: 10/30/2013 10/29/2013 10/28/2013 10/25/2013 10/24/2013 10/23/2013 10/22/2013
JP Morgan
[3091] EMBI Global Lebanon 416 420 431 434 432 435 437
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Default probability (based on CDS)

Daily indices

Type: 05/22/2019 05/21/2019 05/20/2019 05/17/2019 05/16/2019 05/15/2019 05/14/2019
Default Probability Lebanon (Interactive Data)
[20351] 6M Default Probability Lebanon 5.8500 5.8800 6.0100 6.1100 6.0300 5.8500 5.8600
[20413] 1Y Default Probability Lebanon 11.4500 11.4700 11.7000 11.8100 11.6600 11.5400 11.5300
[20475] 2Y Default Probability Lebanon 22.3600 22.3700 22.7600 22.9000 22.5900 22.5600 22.5200
[20537] 3Y Default Probability Lebanon 30.9400 30.9400 31.4300 31.6000 31.1900 31.2200 31.1500
[20599] 4Y Default Probability Lebanon 38.1800 38.2000 38.7700 38.9500 38.4600 38.5400 38.4500
[20661] 5Y Default Probability Lebanon 44.6300 44.5800 45.1900 45.3800 44.8400 44.9600 44.8600
[20723] 7Y Default Probability Lebanon 53.5500 53.5300 54.1700 54.3600 53.7900 54.6600 54.5500
[20785] 10Y Default Probability Lebanon 65.5700 65.5800 66.1800 66.3600 65.8200 65.7500 65.6400
[20847] 15Y Default Probability Lebanon 78.7800 78.8000 79.2800 79.4100 78.9800 78.3000 78.2000
[20909] 20Y Default Probability Lebanon 86.9500 86.9300 87.2800 87.3800 87.0600 86.2600 86.1900
[20971] 30Y Default Probability Lebanon 94.4900 94.4800 94.6700 94.7300 94.5500 93.9400 93.8900
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New international bonds volume

Yearly indices

Type: 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014
Middle East new international bonds volume
[19997] Annual new issues of Lebanon sovereign international bonds, USD bln 5.500 4.700 3.000 3.800 1.575
[20017] Annual new issues of Lebanon corporate international bonds, USD bln 0.300 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
[20037] Annual new issues of Lebanon corporate international bonds, (financial sector) USD bln 0.300 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
[20057] Annual new issues of Lebanon corporate international bonds, (non-financial sector) USD bln 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000

Bonds prices

issue volume maturity date bid prices ask prices
date bid price yield date ask price yield
Lebanon, 3.750% 20jul2017, USD   USD 07/20/2017 05/18/2016 **.**** *.** 05/18/2016 **.**** *.**
Lebanon, 4.0% 31dec2017, USD   USD 12/31/2017 05/18/2016 **.** *.** 05/18/2016 ***.*** *.**
Lebanon, 4.750% 2nov2016, USD   USD 11/02/2016 05/18/2016 ***.*** *.** 05/18/2016 ***.* *.**
Lebanon, 5.0% 12oct2017, USD   USD 10/12/2017 05/18/2016 ***.*** *.** 05/18/2016 ***.** *.**
Lebanon, 5.0% 27may2018, USD   USD 05/27/2018 05/18/2016 **.**** *.** 05/18/2016 ***.**** *.**
Lebanon, 5.150% 12jun2018, USD   USD 06/12/2018 05/18/2016 **.* *.** 05/18/2016 ***.* *.**
Lebanon, 5.150% 12nov2018, USD   USD 11/12/2018 05/18/2016 ***.*** *.** 05/18/2016 ***.** *.**
Lebanon, 5.350% 28nov2018, EUR   EUR 11/28/2018 05/18/2016 ***.** *.** 05/18/2016 ***.** *.**
Lebanon, 5.450% 28nov2019, USD   USD 11/28/2019 05/18/2016 **.** *.** 05/18/2016 ***.** *.**
Lebanon, 5.5% 23apr2019, USD   USD 04/23/2019 05/18/2016 **.*** *.** 05/18/2016 ***.*** *.**
Lebanon, 5.8% 14apr2020, USD   USD 04/14/2020 05/18/2016 **.** *.** 05/18/2016 ***.* *.**
Lebanon, 6.0% 20may2019, USD   USD 05/20/2019 05/18/2016 ***.*** *.** 05/18/2016 ***.* *.**
Lebanon, 6.0% 27jan2023, USD   USD 01/27/2023 05/18/2016 **.*** *.** 05/18/2016 **.** *.**
Lebanon, 6.10% 4oct2022, USD   USD 10/04/2022 05/18/2016 **.*** *.** 05/18/2016 **.** *.*
Lebanon, 6.15% 19jun2020, USD   USD 06/19/2020 05/18/2016 ***.** *.** 05/18/2016 ***.*** *.**
Lebanon, 6.2% 26feb2025, USD   USD 02/26/2025 05/18/2016 **.*** *.** 05/18/2016 **.** *.**
Lebanon, 6.25% 4nov2024, USD   USD 11/04/2024 05/18/2016 ** *.** 05/18/2016 **.** *.*
Lebanon, 6.250% 12jun2025, USD   USD 06/12/2025 05/18/2016 **.** *.** 05/18/2016 **.** *.**
Lebanon, 6.375% 9mar2020, USD   USD 03/09/2020 05/18/2016 ***.** *.** 05/18/2016 ***.** *.**
Lebanon, 6.60% 27nov2026, USD   USD 11/27/2026 05/18/2016 **.** *.** 05/18/2016 **.* *.**
Lebanon, 6.65% 22apr2024, USD   USD 04/22/2024 05/18/2016 ***.* *.** 05/18/2016 ***.* *.**
Lebanon, 6.65% 26feb2030, USD   USD 02/26/2030 05/18/2016 **.** *.** 05/18/2016 **.** *.**
Lebanon, 6.65% 3nov2028, USD   USD 11/03/2028 05/18/2016 **.** *.** 05/18/2016 **.*** *.**
Lebanon, 6.750% 29nov2027, USD   USD 11/29/2027 05/18/2016 ***.** *.** 05/18/2016 ***.* *.**
Lebanon, 7% 22apr2031, USD   USD 04/22/2031 05/18/2016 ***.** *.** 05/18/2016 ***.*** *.**
Lebanon, 7.0% 3dec2024, USD   USD 12/03/2024 05/18/2016 ***.** *.** 05/18/2016 ***.** *.**
Lebanon, 7.05% 2nov2035, USD   USD 11/02/2035 05/18/2016 *** *.** 05/18/2016 ***.* *.**
Lebanon, 7.9% 18dec2017, LBP   LBP 12/18/2017 05/18/2016 ***.**** *.** 05/18/2016 ***.**** *.**
Lebanon, 8.25% 12apr2021, USD   USD 04/12/2021 05/18/2016 ***.* *.** 05/18/2016 ***.** *.*
Lebanon, 9.0% 20mar2017, USD   USD 03/20/2017 05/18/2016 ***.** *.** 05/18/2016 ***.* *.**
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